Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.017946 0.019996 0.022054 0.024269 0.026580 0.028914 0.031445
2025-03-16 0.013427 0.016588 0.019898 0.023591 0.027567 0.031694 0.036279
2025-03-23 0.010869 0.014710 0.018878 0.023658 0.028923 0.034490 0.040772
2025-03-30 0.008717 0.012955 0.017716 0.023316 0.029606 0.036357 0.044069
2025-04-06 0.006871 0.011316 0.016494 0.022736 0.029874 0.037639 0.046604
2025-04-13 0.005076 0.009516 0.014919 0.021612 0.029409 0.038007 0.048037
2025-04-20 0.004328 0.008944 0.014739 0.022045 0.030659 0.040238 0.051480
2025-04-27 0.003338 0.007920 0.013916 0.021648 0.030896 0.041279 0.053553
2025-05-04 0.002441 0.006889 0.012999 0.021071 0.030869 0.041978 0.055201
2025-05-11 0.001964 0.006412 0.012758 0.021290 0.031752 0.043691 0.057968
2025-05-18 0.001443 0.005764 0.012236 0.021119 0.032141 0.044811 0.060040
2025-05-25 0.000916 0.004964 0.011441 0.020557 0.032025 0.045318 0.061389
2025-06-01 0.000516 0.004309 0.010873 0.020363 0.032467 0.046615 0.063814
2025-06-08 0.000173 0.003516 0.010042 0.019812 0.032488 0.047450 0.065759
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.003075 0.009699 0.019885 0.033263 0.049162 0.068706
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002525 0.009104 0.019570 0.033521 0.050238 0.070894
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001959 0.008387 0.019035 0.033467 0.050913 0.072591
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001313 0.007368 0.017999 0.032724 0.050725 0.073248
2025-07-13 NaN 0.001171 0.007337 0.018398 0.033834 0.052778 0.076535
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000846 0.006819 0.018032 0.033921 0.053565 0.078313
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000539 0.006220 0.017501 0.033764 0.054035 0.079697
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000425 0.006097 0.017703 0.034577 0.055693 0.082487
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000270 0.005764 0.017546 0.034893 0.056726 0.084523